Oscar Predictions '06

Well I finally decided to do my Oscar predictions. I will again be doing the big 9 categories. This year I will show the nominees then I will predict who will probably win, who might upset and who should win. Here we go:

Best Animated Feature

HOWL'S MOVING CASTLE
TIM BURTON'S THE CORPSE BRIDE
WALLACE & GROMIT: THE CURSE OF THE WERE-RABBIT

Likely Winner: WALLACE & GROMIT: THE CURSE OF THE WERE-RABBIT
Possible Upset: Pick one of the other two
Should Win: WALLACE & GROMIT: THE CURSE OF THE WERE-RABBIT


Best Adapted Screenplay

Larry McMurtry & Diana Ossana - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Dan Futterman - CAPOTE
Jeffrey Caine - THE CONSTANT GARDENER
Josh Olson - A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE
Tony Kushner & Eric Roth - MUNICH

Likely Winner: Larry McMurtry & Diana Ossana - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Possible Upset: Dan Futterman - CAPOTE
Should Win: Josh Olson - A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE


Best Original Screenplay

Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco - CRASH
George Clooney & Grant Heslov - GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK
Woody Allen - MATCH POINT
Noah Baumbach - THE SQUID AND THE WHALE
Stephen Gaghan - SYRIANA

Likely Winner: Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco - CRASH
Possible Upset: George Clooney & Grant Heslov - GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK
Should Win: Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco - CRASH


Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams - JUNEBUG
Catherine Kenner - CAPOTE
Frances McDormand - NORTH COUNTRY
Rachel Weisz - THE CONSTANT GARDENER
Michelle Williams - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN

Likely Winner: Rachel Weisz - THE CONSTANT GARDENER
Possible Upset: Michelle Williams - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Should Win: Amy Adams - JUNEBUG


Best Supporting Actor

George Clooney - SYRIANA
Matt Dillon - CRASH
Paul Giamatti - CINDERELLA MAN
Jake Gyllenhall - BROKEBACK MOUNTIAN
William Hurt - A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE

Likely Winner: George Clooney - SYRIANA
Possible Upset: Matt Dillon - CRASH or Paul Giamatti - CINDERELLA MAN
Should Win: William Hurt - A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE


Best Actress

Judi Dench - MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS
Felicity Huffman - TRANSAMERICA
Kiera Knightley - PRIDE & PREJUDICE
Charlize Theron - NORTH COUNTRY
Reese Witherspoon - WALK THE LINE

Likely Winner: Reese Witherspoon - WALK THE LINE
Possible Upset: Felicity Huffman - TRANSAMERICA
Should Win: Felicity Huffman - TRANSAMERICA


Best Actor

Phillip Seymour Hoffman - CAPOTE
Terrence Howard - HUSTLE & FLOW
Heath Ledger - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Joaquin Phoenix - WALK THE LINE
David Strathairn - GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK

Likely Winner: Phillip Seymour Hoffman - CAPOTE
Possible Upset: Heath Ledger - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Should Win: Phillip Seymour Hoffman - CAPOTE or Heath Ledger - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN


Best Director

George Clooney - GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK
Paul Haggis - CRASH
Ang Lee - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Bennett Miller - CAPOTE
Steven Spielberg - MUNICH

Likely Winner: Ang Lee - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Possible Upset: George Clooney - GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK or Paul Haggis - CRASH
Should Win: Paul Haggis - CRASH


Best Picture

BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
CAPOTE
CRASH
GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK
MUNICH

Likely Winner: BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Possible Upset: CRASH
Should Win: CRASH